Sep 5, 2026
Iraq, the second-largest producer in OPEC, significantly increased its crude oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz in August, according to data from two Iraqi energy officials and vessel-tracking firms. The country’s exports rose to approximately 2.34 million barrels per day (bpd) from 1.35 million bpd in July, with tracking firms estimating shipments between 2.2 million and 2.3 million bpd. Although these volumes remain below the pre-war level of over 3.5 million bpd, the increase is expected to benefit refiners in India and China that are equipped to process Iraq’s heavier, higher-sulfur crude.
This development follows reports from Iranian state media that Tehran permitted several oil tankers carrying Iraqi crude to transit the Strait of Hormuz, easing Baghdad’s export bottleneck. While it remains unclear if all Iraqi tankers are allowed passage, even partial permission provides relief for Iraq, which has suffered from reduced oil revenues due to the chokepoint’s de facto closure. The blockage had forced Iraq to cut production, as its Basrah exports depend on this vital route.
In addition to the Iranian corridor, Iraq has offered substantial discounts to attract buyers, according to analysts. A senior analyst at Sparta Commodities noted that heavy discounts incentivized buyers to secure shipping options for Basrah crude. Consequently, Chinese and Indian refiners have received cargoes in recent weeks and have chartered tankers for additional volumes. Chinese refiners alone are estimated to have purchased at least 16 million barrels of Basrah crude for September delivery.
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1. INTRODUCTION
Report Scope and Analytical Framing
- Report Description
- Research Methodology and the Analytical Framework
- Data-Driven Decisions for Your Business
- Glossary and Product-Specific Terms
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2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Concise View of Market Direction
- Key Findings
- Market Trends
- Strategic Implications
- Key Risks and Watchpoints
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3. DOMESTIC MARKET SIZE AND DEVELOPMENT PATH
Market Size, Growth and Scenario Framing
- Market Size: Historical Data (2012-2025) and Forecast (2026-2035)
- Growth Outlook and Market Development Path to 2035
- Growth Driver Decomposition
- Scenario Framework and Sensitivities
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4. CATEGORY SCOPE, DEFINITIONS AND BOUNDARIES
Commercial and Technical Scope
- What Is Included and How the Market Is Defined
- Market Inclusion Criteria
- Product / Category Definition
- Exclusions and Boundaries
- Distinction From Adjacent Products and Substitute Categories
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5. CATEGORY STRUCTURE, SEGMENTATION AND PRODUCT MATRIX
How the Market Splits Into Decision-Relevant Buckets
- By Product Type / Configuration
- By Application / End Use
- By Customer / Buyer Type
- By Channel / Business Model / Technology Platform
- Segment Attractiveness Matrix
- Product Matrix and Segment Growth Logic
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6. DOMESTIC DEMAND, CUSTOMER AND BUYER ARCHITECTURE
Where Demand Comes From and How It Behaves
- Consumption / Demand: Historical Data (2012-2025) and Forecast (2026-2035)
- Demand by End-Use and Buyer Group
- Demand by Customer / Consumer Segment
- Purchase Criteria, Switching Logic and Adoption Barriers
- Replacement, Replenishment and Installed-Base Dynamics
- Future Demand Outlook
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7. DOMESTIC PRODUCTION, SUPPLY AND VALUE CHAIN
Supply Footprint and Value Capture
- Production in the Country
- Domestic Manufacturing Footprint
- Capacity, Bottlenecks and Supply Risks
- Value Chain Logic and Margin Pools
- Distribution and Route-to-Market Structure
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8. IMPORTS, EXPORTS AND SOURCING STRUCTURE
Trade Flows and External Dependence
- Exports
- Imports
- Trade Balance
- Import Dependence
- Sourcing Risks and Resilience
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9. PRICING, PROMOTION AND COMMERCIAL MODEL
Price Formation and Revenue Logic
- Domestic Price Levels and Corridors
- Pricing by Segment / Specification / Channel
- Cost Drivers and Margin Logic
- Promotion, Discounting and Procurement Patterns
- Revenue Quality and Commercial Levers
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10. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE AND PORTFOLIO POWER
Who Wins and Why
- Market Structure and Concentration
- Competitive Archetypes
- Segment-by-Segment Competitive Intensity
- Portfolio Breadth and Product Positioning
- Capability Matrix
- Strategic Moves, Partnerships and Expansion Signals
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11. DOMESTIC MARKET STRUCTURE AND CHANNEL LOGIC
How the Domestic Market Works
- Core Demand Centers
- Local Production and Distribution Roles
- Channel Structure
- Buyer and Procurement Architecture
- Regional Imbalances Within the Country
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12. GROWTH PLAYBOOK AND MARKET ENTRY
Commercial Entry and Scaling Priorities
- Where to Play
- How to Win
- Distributor / Partner / Direct Entry Options
- Capability Thresholds
- Entry Risks and Mitigation
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13. WHERE TO PLAY NEXT: MOST ATTRACTIVE GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
Where the Best Expansion Logic Sits
- Most Attractive Product Niches
- Most Attractive Customer Segments
- White Spaces and Unsaturated Opportunities
- High-Margin and Underpenetrated Pockets
- Most Promising Product Adjacencies
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14. PROFILES OF MAJOR COMPANIES
Leading Players and Strategic Archetypes
- Leading Manufacturers and Suppliers
- Production Footprint and Capacities
- Product Portfolio and Segment Focus
- Pricing Positioning and Indicative Price Logic
- Channel / Distribution Strength
- Strategic Archetypes
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15. METHODOLOGY, SOURCES AND DISCLAIMER
How the Report Was Built
- Modeling Logic
- Source Register
- Publications, Regulatory and Industry References
- Analytical Notes
- Disclaimer