2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup: How Egypt can reach the Round of 32
Egypt is currently first in Group G. It will play its final match of group play against Iran on Friday, June 26 at 11 p.m. E.T. New Zealand will face Belgium at the same time.
What Egypt needs to advance
Will finish first if:
- Egypt wins
- OR
- Egypt draws +
Belgium wins +
finishes ahead of Belgium on tiebreakers - OR
- Egypt draws +
New Zealand wins or draws
Will finish second if:
- Egypt draws +
Belgium wins +
finishes behind Belgium on tiebreakers - OR
- Egypt loses +
New Zealand wins or draws
Will finish third if:
- Egypt loses +
Belgium wins(>99% to advance)
What happens to Egypt in 625 possible scoring scenarios
Each square is a specific final score in both Egypt–Iran (columns) and
New Zealand–Belgium (rows) matches, colored by where Egypt would finish group play if those scorelines occur.
Most likely Round of 32 opponent
Most likely Round of 32 location
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