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Ebola rages through the Congo

Four weeks after being declared a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC), the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in central Africa is already three times larger than any previous Ebola epidemic at the same stage. According to a June 18 briefing by Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention epidemiologist Dr. Wessam Mankoula, reported by Health Policy Watch in “Ebola Outbreak is Three Times Bigger Than Previous Outbreaks at Four Weeks,” the 2014 to 2016 West Africa epidemic registered only 242 cases four weeks after its emergency declaration, though it ultimately became the largest in history with roughly 28,600 infected. The 2000 Uganda outbreak had reached only 281 cases at this point. The current epidemic has surged to an unprecedented 894 confirmed cases.

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These 894 infections span 32 health zones across the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Uganda, with the death toll surpassing 200. The DRC outbreak presently carries a case fatality rate of roughly 23 percent, and Ituri Province accounts for more than 90 percent of cases. Medical infrastructure is overwhelmed: nine Ebola treatment centers in Ituri are operating at over 90 percent capacity. Uganda has contained its spread to 19 cases and two deaths. The outbreak shows no sign of slowing, with a 38 percent week-over-week jump in cases.

While some local health zones report declining suspected case counts, this is no sign of containment. A drop in suspected cases reflects the breakdown of disease surveillance and diagnostic testing, not the retreat of the virus. The rate of confirmed cases continues to climb. The outbreak was only officially confirmed on May 15, weeks after transmission had begun, because medical personnel were not equipped to test for the Bundibugyo strain, allowing the virus to spread undetected.

Returning from his second visit to the northeastern epicenter, World Health Organization Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus warned that the virus is moving much faster than the global response. Contact tracing has collapsed. Against an expected 17,000 to 35,000 contacts, health workers have traced only about 4,000 individuals, less than 15 percent of the necessary targets.

The pathogen is the Bundibugyo strain of the Ebola virus, which historically carries a 30-50 percent fatality rate and has no approved vaccine or specific treatment. Yet early, aggressive supportive care saves lives. The soaring death toll measures the absence of medical infrastructure and the depth of imperialist neglect.

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