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2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup: How Senegal can reach the Round of 32

Senegal has a 77% chance of making it to the Round of 32 in the 2026 World Cup. They are in Group I; their first match is against France on June 16 in East Rutherford, N.J.

If they win the group, they’ll play a third-place team from Groups C, D, F, G or H in their first knockout game in New York on June 30.

If they get second, they’ll play the Group E runner-up in Dallas on June 30.

If they advance as a third-place team, they’ll play a group winner from Group A, B, D, G, K or L in Atlanta, Kansas City, Mexico City, San Francisco, Seattle or Vancouver.

The tables below represent a schedule of World Cup matches. Pick a winner and see what happens to Senegal’s chances. As you pick winners, the colors on some games and outcomes will change.

Matches outside Group I only impact the qualification chances of teams who finish in third place.

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